Friday, February 24, 2017

Oscars 2016: Complete List of Predictions

Ben Foster and Chris Pine in "Hell or High Water", which will not win enough Oscars
For your annotated pleasure, here are each of the Manifesto’s predictions for the 21 feature categories at this year’s Oscars. (Someday, I might start picking the shorts, but not this year.) For the record, I’m pegging La La Land to take home 10 Oscars (one shy of the record), but its total could range anywhere from 6 to 12.


Best Actor
Will win: Denzel Washington—Fences (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Casey Affleck—Manchester by the Sea
Egregious snub: Colin Farrell—The Lobster

Best Actress
Will win: Emma Stone—La La Land (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Emma Stone—La La Land
Egregious snub: Amy Adams—Arrival

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Moonlight—Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Arrival—Eric Heisserer
Egregious snub: Love & Friendship—Whit Stillman

Best Animated Feature
Will win: Zootopia (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Kubo and the Two Strings

Best Cinematography
Will win: La La Land—Linus Sandgren (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: La La Land—Linus Sandgren
Egregious snub: Sunset Song—Michael McDonough

Best Costume Design
Will win: La La Land (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: La La Land

Best Director
Will win: Damien Chazelle—La La Land (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Damien Chazelle—La La Land
Egregious snub: Park Chan-wook—The Handmaiden

Best Documentary Feature
Will win: O.J.: Made in America (confidence: 4/5)

Best Film Editing
Will win: La La Land—Tom Cross (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Arrival—Joe Walker
Egregious snub: Manchester by the Sea—Jennifer Lame

Best Foreign Language Film
Will win: The Salesman (Iran) (confidence: 2/5)
Egregious snub: Elle (France)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will win: Star Trek Beyond (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Star Trek Beyond

Best Original Score
Will win: La La Land—Justin Hurwitz (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: La La Land—Justin Hurwitz
Egregious snub: The Handmaiden—Jo Yeong-wook

Best Original Screenplay
Will win: Manchester by the Sea—Kenneth Lonergan (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: The Lobster—Efthymis Filippou, Yorgos Lanthimos
Egregious snub: The Witch—Robert Eggers

Best Original Song
Will win: La La Land—“City of Stars” (Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul) (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: La La Land—“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” (Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek, Justin Paul)
Egregious snub: Moana—“You’re Welcome” (Lin-Manuel Miranda)

Best Picture
Will win: La La Land (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: La La Land
Egregious snub: The Handmaiden

Best Production Design
Will win: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Passengers
Egregious snub: Doctor Strange

Best Sound Editing
Will win: La La Land (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Arrival

Best Sound Mixing
Will win: La La Land (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Mahershala Ali—Moonlight (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Jeff Bridges—Hell or High Water
Egregious snub: Alden Ehrenreich—Hail, Caesar!

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Viola Davis—Fences (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Naomie Harris—Moonlight
Egregious snub: Lily Gladstone—Certain Women

Best Visual Effects
Will win: The Jungle Book (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Doctor Strange
Egregious snub: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

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